ABSTRACT
@#Abstract: Objective By collecting and sorting the information of varicella cases reported in Liaoning Province from 2006 to 2021, the epidemiological characteristics were analyzed, and the monthly incidence data were predicted, so as to explore the prevention and control strategy of varicella disease in Liaoning Province. Methods By collecting the characteristic information of varicella cases in Liaoning Province, epidemiological analysis was carried out on the regional, population, and temporal characteristics of varicella incidence. The monthly incidence data of varicella were fitted with Eviews software, seasonal ARIMA model was used for modeling, and models were selected according to SC and AIC. After modeling, the model was used to predict the incidence data in 2022. Results The incidence rate of varicella in Liaoning Province has increased in recent years. The onset time was "bimodal distribution", with the main peak occurring from November to January of the next year and the secondary peak occurring from May to June. Since 2019, the onset age has shifted backward. From the original 0-<10 age group with the highest incidence rate, it shifted to the 10-<20 age group with the highest incidence rate. From 2006 to 2021, the incidence of varicella mainly concentrated in people aged 0 to <40 years old, and the incidence rate of the population over 40 years old showed a cliff-like decline. The incidence of chickenpox was higher in the central region of Liaoning Province, such as Shenyang, Dalian, Anshan and Panjin, and relatively low in Huludao, Jinzhou, Fuxin and Liaoyang. The distribution of the population was mainly students, followed by kindergartens and scattered children. ARIMA model of monthly incidence data was established by software as ARIMA (1, 0, 1) (1, 1, 1)12. Conclusions The incidence rate of varicella in Liaoning Province has been rising in recent years. The incidence is obviously seasonal, and the age group of the affected population has moved backward. It is predicted that the incidence will continue to increase in 2022. The prevention and control of varicella should still be the current key work. In order to reduce the population incidence rate, two-dose vaccination strategies should be vigorously promoted the implementation of the, and the inclusion of varicella vaccine in the immunization program should be achieved as soon as possible.
ABSTRACT
·AIM:To investigate the therapeutic effect of endoscopic dacryocystorhinostomy in the treatment of acute dacryocystitis.·METHODS: Totally 55 patients with acute dacryocystitis was divided into two groups according to the clinical manifestations:the group of redness and swelling and the group of abscess rupture. The bleeding and pain after operation were observed. Operation effect and skin scar of lacrimal sac area was observed and compared between two groups.·RESULTS: The patients were followed up from 3mo to 2a, and effective rates of the two groups of patients were compared, which showed no statistically significant difference ( x2 = 0. 307, P> 0. 05 ). Surgery before the abscess ruptured had the minimal impact on the appearance. The appearance impact of the group of abscess rupture was higher than that of the group of redness, and there are statistically significant difference (x2=12. 44, P<0. 05).·CONCLUSION:Endonasal endoscopic dacryocystorhinostomy is an effective method on the treatment of acute dacryocystitis. Early surgery has the advantages of quick recovery, scarlessness and high efficiency. Therefore, it worthy of clinical promotion.